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Sunday, August 30, 2009

Punter's Call 28-Aug-2009 Above 4700 After struggling for days, on the very first day of the September series, the stock market closed at all-time high for the year.






Punters' Call
After struggling for days, on the very first day of the September series, the stock market closed at all-time high for the year. Further, the weekly positive close after the previous bullish hammer indicates that bulls continue their grip on the market. In the first half of today’s session the market traded within a range, however in the second half it broke out above 4700 level, which had acted as strong resistance two times earlier. The icing on the cake was that the breakout was supported with good volumes. After two days of flat closing, Nifty managed to close higher and above the close of the outside bar, which suggest more strength in days to come. This will open the gates for our short-term target. On the Sensex, the daily chart ‘bullish island’ had been formed with support at the lower band ie 15275, a bullish sign for the market. Nifty is currently trading above 20 daily moving average (DMA) and 40DMA ie 4561 and 4479 respectively, which are crucial support levels going forward. The momentum indicator (KST) has given positive crossover and trading above the zero line.

On the hourly chart, Nifty is trading above 20 hourly moving average (HMA) and 40HMA ie 4667 and 4576 respectively, which are strong support levels in the immediate run. Our short-term bias is up with reversal at 4350 and target at 4780. The market breadth was positive with 675 advances and 584 declines on the NSE and 1,534 advances and 584 declines on the BSE.

For the day, Nifty and BSE ended 44 points and 141 points higher respectively. Of the 30 stocks that constitute the Sensex, DLF (up 5%) and Bharti Airtel (up 4%) were the top gainers, while Tata Power (down 1.5%) and Ranbaxy Laboratories (down 1.5%) were the top losers. Metal and Infrastructure scrips saw buying interest today.
Looking Trendy

Sensex 30
Nifty
SupportResistance
Support
Resistance
1566016200
4670
4755
1540016350
4620
4780
1527516555
4580
4820
20DSMA40DEMA
20DSMA
40DEMA
1540015080
4566
4481
BSE Sensex: 15,922
Nifty: 4,732
Market breadth
BSENSE
Advances1,534675
Declines1,249584
Unchanged7235
Volume (Rs)6,534cr18,329cr
Short term Trend
TimeTargetTrendReversalSupport/
Resistance
Short term (Sensex)
16200
Down below 14650
14650 / 16200
Short term (Nifty)
4780
Down below 4350
4350 / 4780
Icon guide
Up
Down
Downswing matures
Upswing matures

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