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Saturday, October 18, 2014

RBI Monetary Policy Simplified

RBI Monetary Policy Simplified
Jitendra Arora, Senior Vice President & Fund Manager – Fixed Income, decodes the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy.

The monetary policy is an event during which the RBI Governor announces the change in interest rates if any. By managing the interest rates, the RBI Governor controls liquidity in the system and also balances growth–inflation dynamics.

RBI monetary policy on September 30, 2014

RBI in the Fourth Bi–Monthly Monetary Policy Statement 2014–15 left the rate at which it lends to the banks unchanged at 8.00%, which was in line with the market expectations. RBI kept the rates unchanged post their assessment of the current and evolving domestic/international macroeconomic and geopolitical environment.

These policy measures were taken considering the fact that though Consumer Price Index Inflation has eased in the recent months, it is still significantly higher than RBI´s stated inflation target of 6% by January 2016.

We believe that if the international global commodity (oil and non–oil) prices remain benign along with lower domestic food prices, it would lead to lower inflation in next few months. This should provide room to the RBI to reduce interest rates in the future as and when it gets convinced about meeting the 6% target for CPI inflation by January 2016.

Overall the fundamentals for the economy are continuously improving and should lead to high growth with acceptable levels of inflation. Therefore, we sincerely recommend that policy holders should continue paying their premiums regularly and remain invested in the choice of their fund(s) as per their risk appetite. This would help policy holders achieve their long term financial goals.




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